Skip to main content

Hemnet – Sweden’s Online Property Powerhouse with Ample Room to Grow

September 2025

If you’ve bought or sold a property in Sweden, chances are you’ve used Hemnet. Established in 1998 by an association of Swedish real estate agents, Hemnet began as a centralised online listings platform and has since evolved into the country’s default property marketplace. Today, it commands a market position arguably stronger than REA Group in Australia or Rightmove in the UK – an enviable first-mover advantage in a market where network effects are everything.

A Dominant Platform with Deep Network Effects

Hemnet’s dominance is extraordinary: approximately 90% of Swedish homes sold are listed on the platform – a ratio that is unchanged for five years. The site attracts over 40 million visits per month and delivers 16 times more clicks per listing than its nearest competitor.

These network effects are self-reinforcing. More listings attract more buyers, which in turn draw more sellers and agents, perpetuating a virtuous cycle that makes meaningful competitive inroads extremely difficult. This is especially true in Sweden’s fragmented agency market, where the top 10 brands account for 80% of transactions but operate via hundreds of local franchises.

Navigating a Softer Market

Sweden’s property market is currently subdued, with listings well below historical averages. For Hemnet, this has a direct revenue impact, as revenue is a function of listing volumes multiplied by average revenue per listing (ARPL). A softer market can also prompt agents and vendors to trial free or lower-cost alternatives such as Booli.

While the possibility of a rival gaining critical mass cannot be dismissed, the probability appears low. History shows that breaking the network effects of a leading developed market real estate portal is extraordinarily difficult – in fact, its unprecedented. The reason is simple, as anyone that’s sold their home recently will attest. One’s home is a typically their biggest asset by an order of magnitude. Electing not to list on Hemnet might save you the SEK8k (US$860) listing fee. But if there’s a risk that your home sells for 5% less as a result, costing you SEK150k (US$16k) in lost sale proceeds, there’s a strong chance you will list on Hemnet.

Source: Hemnet. The soft Swedish housing market has resulted in a glut of unsold properties on the market (left). Consequently, the number of new listings has softened (right). Whilst fewer new listings mean less revenue for Hemnet, this headwind will turn into a tailwind when the market recovers.

Pricing Power – Still Early in the Journey

Hemnet’s most powerful long-term growth driver is its ARPL. Like REA and Rightmove, Hemnet offers a tiered suite ofproducts – Basic, Plus, Premium, and Max – allowing sellers to pay for greater exposure. Between 2019 and 2024, listingprices rose at a compound annual rate of ~35% – rapid by any measure, albeit from a low base. Even now, Hemnet’s take rate is a mere fraction the median house price sits materially below REA’s in Australia where pricing growth remains strong.

Interestingly, Hemnet now finds itself in the unusual position of being criticised for both being “too dominant” and “not dominant enough.” On one side, the Swedish Competition Authority and the Real Estate Agency Inspectorate have raised concerns over the company’s pricing power and its practice of paying commissions to agents. On the other, the equity market has punished the share price in recent months on fears that competitive threats from Booli could erode Hemnet’s market position.

The reality is that neither view tells the full story.

Despite competition, Hemnet’s market share has remained stable, with nine out of ten homes sold in Sweden in 2024 advertised on its platform. At the same time, pricing remains modest relative to other markets and the value ultimately delivered vendors as discussed above. Further, the value captured by Swedish agents still dwarfs that captured by Hemnet, in total contrast to the relative value being delivered to vendors, in our view.

If regulators were to intervene to reduce or remove Hemnet’s agent commission payments, it would in fact drive earnings higher without threatening market share. And while listing volumes are cyclical, history suggests they tend to revert to long-term averages over time, providing a natural tailwind when the housing market normalises.

Strategic Levers Beyond Listings

Although listings remain Hemnet’s core revenue driver, its vast audience remains under-monetised. Management sees significant opportunities in adjacent verticals such as mortgage and insurance lead generation, following the example of peers like Zillow (USA) and Scout24 (Germany). As Sweden’s third-largest commercial website, Hemnet has a unique platform to build high-margin B2B offerings and diversify revenue streams over time.

Source: Spheria, company data.

Valuation and Risks

At current levels, Hemnet trades on an FY26 EV/EBITA multiple of 21x – attractive for a highly cash-generative and dominant real estate marketplace with pricing power and a long-term growth runway. Key risks include regulatory scrutiny of its pricing and agent remuneration structure, heightened competitive activity from Booli, and the challenge of managing price perception among stakeholders. However, history suggests that the network effects underpinning a mature property portal are exceptionally resilient, and sustained market-share loss in such a context would be unprecedented.

The Bottom Line

Hemnet combines market dominance, latent pricing power, and adjacent growth opportunities with cyclical upside as listings recover in the Swedish housing market. While soft volumes may encourage some to trial free alternatives, the strength of its network effects and stickiness of its audience suggest to us that competitive threats are more noise than signal. The long-term investment thesis remains intact: steadily lift ARPL through product upgrades, reduce agent rebates, and leverage unmatched audience scale into new revenue streams.

Disclaimer

This document is prepared by Spheria Asset Management Pty Limited ABN 42 611 081 326 (‘Spheria’), a corporate authorised representative (No. 322140) of Pinnacle Investment Management Limited ABN 66 109 659 109, AFSL 322140.

Pinnacle Funds Services Limited ABN 29 082 494 362 AFSL 238371 is the product issuer of the Spheria Global Opportunities Fund (ARSN 627 330 287) (‘the Fund’). The Product Disclosure Statement (‘PDS’) and the Target Market Determination (TMD) of the Fund(s) is available at www.spheria.com.au. Any potential investor should consider the relevant PDS and TMD before deciding whether to acquire, or continue to hold units in, a fund.

Past performance is for illustrative purposes only and is not indicative of future performance. Unless otherwise specified, all amounts are in AUD.

All companies mentioned within the commentary are for illustrative purposes only and should not be taken as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell.

Whilst Spheria and Pinnacle Fund Services Limited believe the information contained in this communication is reliable, no warranty is given as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness and persons relying on this information do so at their own risk. Subject to any liability which cannot be excluded under the relevant laws, Spheria and Pinnacle Fund Services Limited disclaim all liability to any person relying on the information contained in this communication in respect of any loss or damage (including consequential loss or damage), however caused, which may be suffered or arise directly or indirectly in respect of such information. Any opinions and forecasts reflect the judgment and assumptions of Spheria and its representatives on the basis of information at the date of publication and may later change without notice.

Unauthorised use, copying, distribution, replication, posting, transmitting, publication, display, or reproduction in whole or in part of the information contained in this communication is prohibited without obtaining prior written permission from Spheria. Spheria and its associates may have interests in financial products and may receive fees from companies referred to during this communication.